Recently, in an article for the Institute for Family Studies, Patrick Brown highlighted the notable decline of marriage and married parenthood among Republican voters. The GOP has long enjoyed larger support from married parents. However, in the most recent election, Brown writes,
…there was essentially no political advantage in 2024 for Republicans in congressional districts with higher shares of births … to married parents. In fact, some of the Congressional districts with the highest share of births within marriage are wealthy Democratic strongholds: New York’s Upper West Side, the Boston suburbs, Northern Virginia, and Silicon Valley. Compare this to 2012, in which Republicans dramatically outperformed Democrats in counties where higher shares of babies were born to married couples. This suggests in years to come—if current trends persist—the GOP advantage with married parents may not be rock-solid.
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