How population growth is quietly redrawing America’s political map
January 29, 2026
The U.S. Census Bureau 2025 population estimates predict a shift in political representation that benefits traditionally Republican states, potentially influencing control of Congress and the winner of the White House for years to come.
Growth trends from the past year could result in red states picking up 8-10 U.S. House seats following the 2030 census, according to two projections published on Tuesday by the American Redistricting Project and Carnegie Mellon University professor Jonathan Cervas.
