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What Government Can and Can’t Do About Birth Rates

June 25, 2025
What Government Can and Can’t Do About Birth Rates

Matthew Hennessey, a Wall Street Journal opinion editor who is always worth reading, maintains that while the fall in birth rates is “a big problem in need of an urgent solution,” social conservatives are putting too much hope in “what they call ‘family-friendly’ provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act currently working its way through the Senate.” His cautions are well taken. But I think he’s too pessimistic about their potential impact, in part because he’s thinking about it the wrong way.

He makes four arguments. (1) Other countries’ pro-family policies have failed to raise birth rates appreciably. (2) “Nobody ...

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