It has been well-documented that fertility is declining sharply in the United States and in most parts of the world.
In fact, the Congressional Budget Office recently reported that the U.S. fertility rate has declined so quickly, they advanced their projection of when deaths would outpace births in America by ten years over their 2024 projection. That year they projected this ominous milestone would happen in 2040. They now say births will drop lower than deaths in 2030. It will likely happen sooner as our current fertility trendline is dramatic.
Shannon Osaka, The Washington Post
Madison Colombo, Fox News
Lyman Stone, Peter Foreshaw Brookes, The Critic
Weekly roundup of research, commentary, and insights changing the national conversation on the family.
P.O. Box 1502 Charlottesville, VA 22902
© 2026 Institute for Family Studies
© 2026 Institute for Family Studies
Before you go, consider subscribing to our weekly emails so we can keep you updated with latest insights, articles, and reports.
Before you go, consider subscribing to IFS so we can keep you updated with news, articles, and reports.
We’ll keep you up to date with the latest from our research and articles.